While FIFA rankings tell one story, ELO Ratings often provide a more accurate measure of a team's current strength. We've re-analyzed the groups using average ELO scores to reveal the true difficulty levels.
Higher Average ELO = Stronger Teams = Harder Group.
| Rank | Group | Teams | Avg ELO | Difficulty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Group I | France, Senegal, Iraq, Norway | 1877.2 | Group of Death |
| 2 | Group L | England, Croatia, Ghana, Panama | 1836.0 | Very Hard |
| 3 | Group J | Argentina, Algeria, Austria, Jordan | 1834.0 | Hard |
| 4 | Group F | Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, Tunisia | 1831.2 | Hard |
| 5 | Group K | Portugal, DR Congo, Uzbekistan, Colombia | 1826.0 | Balanced |
| 6 | Group D | USA, Paraguay, Australia, Türkiye | 1812.8 | Balanced |
| 7 | Group H | Spain, Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, Uruguay | 1806.8 | Balanced |
| 8 | Group C | Brazil, Morocco, Haiti, Scotland | 1797.5 | Balanced |
| 9 | Group A | Mexico, South Africa, South Korea, Czechia | 1764.8 | Favorable |
| 10 | Group G | Belgium, Egypt, Iran, New Zealand | 1762.8 | Favorable |
| 11 | Group E | Germany, Curacao, Ivory Coast, Ecuador | 1749.8 | Easy |
| 12 | Group B | Canada, Bosnia, Qatar, Switzerland | 1716.0 | Easiest |